{"id":725,"date":"2026-08-28T17:52:35","date_gmt":"2026-08-28T17:52:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/?p=725"},"modified":"2026-08-28T17:52:35","modified_gmt":"2026-08-28T17:52:35","slug":"%ec%bc%80%eb%b9%88-%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9e%ad%ec%8a%a8%ed%99%80%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ed%8f%ac%ec%9b%8c%eb%93%9c-%ea%b0%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%98%ec%8a%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/?p=725","title":{"rendered":"\ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \ud3d0\uae30\uc640 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ucc9c\uba85\ud568\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc870\uae30 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc811\uace0 \ub3c5\uc790\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8 \uad00\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc190\uc744 \uc7a1\uace0 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uce5c\uc808\ud788 \uc548\ub0b4\ud574\uc8fc\ub358 &#8216;\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4(Forward Guidance, \uc815\ucc45 \uc0ac\uc804 \uc608\uace0\uc81c)&#8217; \uc2dc\ub300\uac00 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc885\uc5b8\uc744 \uace0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900) \uc758\uc7a5 \ucde8\uc784 100\uc77c\uc744 \ub9de\uc740 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc\ub294 8\uc6d4 28\uc77c \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640 \ubbf8\ud305 \uae30\uc870\uc5f0\uc124(&#8220;In Our Time&#8221;)\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uacbd\uc81c \ud638\uc870\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc870\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ubc30\uc81c\ub294 \ubb3c\ub860, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\ubc1c \uc2dc \ucd94\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\ub3c4 \ubd88\uc0ac\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \ucd08\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc120\uc5b8\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc774\ubc88 \uc5f0\uc124\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uadfc\uac70\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacac\uace0\ud55c \uc2e4\ubb3c \uacbd\uc81c\uc640 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud558\uac8c \ud37c\uc838 \uc788\ub294 \uae30\uc800 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc0bc\ub294 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc758 \uc138\ubd80 199\uac1c \ud488\ubaa9 \uc911 54%\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 3%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ud32c\ub370\ubbf9 \uc774\uc804 20\ub144 \ud3c9\uade0\uce58(32%)\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ubcf8\uc5f0\uc758 \uc784\ubb34\uc778 &#8216;2% \ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815&#8217;\uc744 \ud655\uace0\ud55c \uace0\uc815 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ubabb \ubc15\uc73c\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc\uc758 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \uc18c\ud1b5\uc744 \ucd95\uc18c\ud558\ub294 &#8216;\uc870\uc6a9\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900(Quieter Fed)&#8217;\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud68c\uadc0\ub97c \uacf5\uc2dd\ud654\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">&#8216;\uac70\uc6b8\uc758 \ubc29&#8217;\uc744 \uae68\ub2e4: \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \ud3d0\uae30\uc640 \uc18c\ud1b5 \ucd95\uc18c \uc120\uc5b8<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1408\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/01-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774.png\" alt=\"\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc18c\ud1b5 \ubc29\uc2dd \ubcc0\ud654\uc640 \uc5c4\uc911\ud55c \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \uc2dc\uac01\ud654\" class=\"wp-image-721\" srcset=\"https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/01-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774.png 1408w, https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/01-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/01-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774-1024x559.png 1024w, https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/01-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774-768x419.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1408px) 100vw, 1408px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\uc735\uc704\uae30 \ub2f9\uc2dc \ub3c4\uc785\ub418\uc5c8\ub358 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uac00 \ud3c9\uc0c1\uc2dc \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc624\ud788\ub824 \uc815\ucc45 \uc720\uc5f0\uc131\uc744 \uc800\ud574\ud558\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc624\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ube44\ud310\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc608\uace0\ud558\ub294 \uad00\ud589\uc774 2021\ub144 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uc2e4\uae30\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0 \uc6d0\uc778\uc774\uc5c8\uc74c\uc744 \uc9c0\uc801\ud558\uba70, \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubb34\uc870\uac74\uc801\uc778 \ud22c\uba85\uc131\uc774 \ubbf8\ub355\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\uace0 \ub2e8\uc5b8\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud2b9\ud788 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc11c\ub85c\uc758 \ub208\uce58\ub9cc \ubcf4\uba70 \ubcf8\uc9c8\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uc81c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\uc744 \ub193\uce58\ub294 &#8216;\uac70\uc6b8\uc758 \ubc29(Hall-of-mirrors)&#8217; \uc65c\uace1 \ud604\uc0c1\uc744 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc9c8\ud0c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\ub9cc \uc0b4\ud53c\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc785\ub9cc \ubc14\ub77c\ubcf4\ub294 \uc0c1\ud638 \ubaa8\ubc29 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \ucc28\ub2e8\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \ud78c\ud2b8\ub97c \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \uc120\uc5b8\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc81c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uc5d0 \uc758\uc874\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \uc2e4\ubb3c \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801 \ub4f1 \uc2e4\uc81c \uacbd\uc81c \ud604\uc2e4\uc744 \uc2a4\uc2a4\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\uacac\uace0\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\uacfc \ub048\uc801\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00: \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc5c6\uace0 \uc778\uc0c1 \uce74\ub4dc\ub9cc \ub0a8\uc558\ub2e4<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1408\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/02-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774.png\" alt=\"\uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \ub8f8\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\uac10\uc744 \uc804\ub2ec\" class=\"wp-image-722\" srcset=\"https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/02-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774.png 1408w, https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/02-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/02-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774-1024x559.png 1024w, https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/02-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774-768x419.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1408px) 100vw, 1408px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ud655\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub824\uc57c \ud560 \uc720\uc778\uc774 \uc804\ud600 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2021\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d \uc911\uc778 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790\uc640 S&amp;P 500 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc774\uc775, 4.1% \uc218\uc900\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960, \uc644\ud654\uc801\uc778 \ub300\ucd9c \ubb38\ud131 \ub4f1\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uacbd\uc81c \ud65c\ub3d9\uc744 \uc5b5\uc555\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc99d\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ubc18\uba74 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacbd\uacc4 \ub300\uc0c1\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. PCE \uad6c\uc131 \ud488\ubaa9\uc758 \uacfc\ubc18\uc218(54%)\uc5d0\uc11c 3% \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uac00\ud30c\ub978 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc6b0\uc120\uc21c\uc704\ub294 \uc624\uc9c1 &#8216;\ubb3c\uac00 \ud1b5\uc81c&#8217;\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc838\uc57c \ud568\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 65\uac1c\uc6d4\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub41c \uace0\ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \ucc45\uc784\uc774 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc5d0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc778\uc815\ud558\uba70, \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc7a1\ud788\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ubb34\uac8c\ucd94\uac00 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub85c \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ud55c \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\uc815\ud1b5 \ud1b5\ud654\uc8fc\uc758\ub85c\uc758 \ud68c\uadc0\uc640 AI \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131 TF\ub77c\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \uacfc\uc81c<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1408\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/03-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774.png\" alt=\"\uc804\ud1b5\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uacfc \ucca8\ub2e8 AI \uae30\uc220 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774 \uacf5\uc874\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uc5f0\uad6c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ubb18\uc0ac\" class=\"wp-image-723\" srcset=\"https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/03-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774.png 1408w, https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/03-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/03-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774-1024x559.png 1024w, https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/03-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774-768x419.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1408px) 100vw, 1408px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc6b4\uc6a9 \ubc29\uc2dd\ub3c4 \uc815\ud1b5 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc870\uc808\uacfc \ud1b5\ud654\ub7c9 \uc911\uc2ec\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc8fc\uc758(Monetarism)\ub85c \ud68c\uadc0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc591\uc801\uc644\ud654(QE)\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ube44\uc804\ud1b5\uc801 \uc790\uc0b0 \ub9e4\uc785 \uc815\ucc45\uc740 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801\uc778 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \uc704\uae30 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub9cc \uadf9\ub3c4\ub85c \uc808\uc81c\ud558\uc5ec \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \ud3c9\uc0c1\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc720\uc77c\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub418\uc5b4\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc544\uc6b8\ub7ec \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ubc0f \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc740\ud589 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc5d0\uc11c \ucc3d\ucd9c\ub418\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\ub7c9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud575\uc2ec \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \uaca9\uc0c1\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI) \ud601\uc2e0\uc774 \uc2e4\ubb3c \uacbd\uc81c\uc640 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce60 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub2f4 \ud0dc\uc2a4\ud06c\ud3ec\uc2a4(TF) \uad6c\uc131\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. AI \uc778\ud504\ub77c \ud22c\uc790 \uae09\uc99d\uacfc \ud1a0\ud070 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub7c9 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc694\uc18c\ub85c \uc778\uc2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc774\uac83\uc774 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131\uc744 \uc5b8\uc81c \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4\uc9c0, \ub178\ub3d9\uc744 \ubcf4\uc644\ud560\uc9c0 \ub300\uccb4\ud560\uc9c0\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. AI \ubd84\uc11d \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc911\uc7a5\uae30 \uc5f0\uad6c \uacfc\uc81c\uc77c \ubfd0 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\uace0 \uc120\uc744 \uadf8\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc0dd\uc874\ubc95: \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub2dd \ub300\ube44\uc640 \uacb0\uacfc \uc911\uc2ec\uc758 \uc2e0\ub8b0\uc131 \uac80\uc99d<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1408\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/04-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774.png\" alt=\"\ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uace1\uc120 \ubcc0\ud654\uc640 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \ub300\uc751\uc744 \ud615\uc0c1\ud654\" class=\"wp-image-724\" srcset=\"https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/04-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774.png 1408w, https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/04-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/04-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774-1024x559.png 1024w, https:\/\/news.baramsol.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/04-\ucf00\ube48-\uc6cc\uc2dc-\uc5f0\uc900\uc758\uc7a5\uc774-\uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c-\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc-\uac00\uc774-768x419.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1408px) 100vw, 1408px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640 \uc120\uc5b8\uc740 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc870\uae30 \ud53c\ubc97(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658) \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uc18c\uba78\uc2dc\ucf30\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub460\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c, \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uace0 \uc7a5\uae30\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud1b5\uc81c \uae30\ub300\ub85c \uc548\uc815\ud654\ub418\ub294 &#8216;\ubca0\uc5b4 \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub2dd(Bear Flattening, \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc8fc\ub3c4\uc758 \uc7a5\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ucd95\uc18c)&#8217; \ud604\uc0c1\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc720\ub825\ud55c \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub85c \ub300\ub450\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc758 \uc218\uc0ac\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc \uc2e4\uc81c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \ud1b5\ud654\ub7c9 \ucd94\uc138\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucc99 \uc608\uc774\uac70 \uc7a5\uad70\uc758 \uaca9\uc5b8(&#8220;\uc9c4\uc2e4\uc758 \uc21c\uac04\uc5d0\ub294 \uc774\uc720 \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4&#8221;)\ucc98\ub7fc, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc2e0\ub8b0\uc131\uc740 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub77c\ub294 \ub9d0\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c 2% \ubb3c\uac00 \ub2ec\uc131\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud589\ub3d9\uacfc \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c\ub9cc \uac80\uc99d\ub420 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\uc81c &#8216;\uc5f0\uc900 \ud48b(Fed Put)&#8217;\uc758 \ud658\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098 \uc790\uc0dd\uc801\uc778 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc7ac\ubc18\uc601\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ucc38\uc870 \uc790\ub8cc<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/speeches.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Federal Reserve Board &#8211; Speeches and Statements (Jackson Hole Economic Symposium)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bea.gov\/data\/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bureau of Economic Analysis &#8211; Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.kansascityfed.org\/research\/jackson-hole-economic-symposium\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City &#8211; Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium Overview<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc190\uc744 \uc7a1\uace0 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uce5c\uc808\ud788 \uc548\ub0b4\ud574\uc8fc\ub358 &#8216;\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4(Forward Guidance, \uc815\ucc45 \uc0ac\uc804 \uc608\uace0\uc81c)&#8217; \uc2dc\ub300\uac00 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc885\uc5b8\uc744 \uace0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900) \uc758\uc7a5 \ucde8\uc784 100\uc77c\uc744 \ub9de\uc740 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc\ub294 8\uc6d4 28\uc77c \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640 \ubbf8\ud305 \uae30\uc870\uc5f0\uc124(&#8220;In Our Time&#8221;)\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uacbd\uc81c \ud638\uc870\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc870\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ubc30\uc81c\ub294 \ubb3c\ub860, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\ubc1c \uc2dc \ucd94\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\ub3c4 \ubd88\uc0ac\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \ucd08\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc120\uc5b8\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc5f0\uc124\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uadfc\uac70\ub294 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-725","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-1"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc190\uc744 \uc7a1\uace0 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uce5c\uc808\ud788 \uc548\ub0b4\ud574\uc8fc\ub358 &#039;\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4(Forward Guidance, \uc815\ucc45 \uc0ac\uc804 \uc608\uace0\uc81c)&#039; \uc2dc\ub300\uac00 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc885\uc5b8\uc744 \uace0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900) \uc758\uc7a5 \ucde8\uc784 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